Packers Playoff Push: One Win Away! Week 17 Scenarios Explained (2026)

The Path to Playoffs: A Single Victory Secures Packers' Spot

GREEN BAY – In a dramatic turn of events, despite relinquishing a lead in their recent game against Chicago on Saturday night, the Green Bay Packers have actually edged closer to securing a playoff berth.

Thanks to the Pittsburgh Steelers' victory over the Detroit Lions, the scenario for the Packers in Week 17 is now clear as they head into their home matchup against Baltimore this Saturday:

A win by the Packers OR a loss by the Lions will guarantee Green Bay a place in the playoffs.

Currently, the Chicago Bears hold an 11-4 record and are leading the NFC North, leaving the Packers at 9-5-1. However, the race for the division title is far from over. With two games still remaining in the season, the Packers can reclaim the division title by achieving the following:

Two wins by the Packers coupled with two losses by the Bears would turn the NFC North standings in Green Bay’s favor.

As it stands, six out of seven playoff spots in the NFC are virtually locked in. The Seattle Seahawks, Los Angeles Rams, and San Francisco 49ers from the NFC West, alongside the Philadelphia Eagles from the NFC East and the division-leading Bears from the NFC North, have all secured their postseason positions, though their seeding remains undecided. Meanwhile, the champion of the NFC South, likely either the Carolina Panthers or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, is expected to claim the No. 4 seed.

Given this context, let's break down the implications for Week 17 and how they relate to the Packers' playoff hopes:

  • Detroit (8-7) at Minnesota (7-8) – If the Lions lose on Christmas Day, the Packers will clinch a playoff spot before even taking the field against the Ravens. So, it’s time to root for the Vikings to hand the Lions their third consecutive loss and eliminate them from contention.

  • Seattle (12-3) at Carolina (8-7) – This matchup doesn't directly affect the Packers, but if you’d prefer to see a different team win the NFC West or want the Panthers to vie for a higher playoff seed than the Eagles, cheer for Carolina. Conversely, if you favor the Buccaneers over the Panthers in the NFC South, then support the Seahawks.

  • Philadelphia (10-5) at Buffalo (11-4) – The Packers still have a shot at winning the NFC North, and any defeat suffered by the Eagles could ultimately benefit the NFC North champion by allowing them to secure a better seed than the NFC East winner. Therefore, it would be wise to support the Bills as they take on the Eagles.

  • Chicago (11-4) at San Francisco (11-4) – Scheduled almost 24 hours after the Packers face the Ravens, the outcome of this game will largely depend on how the Packers perform. Should Green Bay emerge victorious and remain in the race for the NFC North title, rally behind the 49ers to defeat the Bears. However, if the Packers fall short and must rely on a wild card spot for postseason play, a Bears victory could potentially improve Green Bay's seeding position.

  • Los Angeles Rams (11-4) at Atlanta (6-9) – Unless the Rams clinch the NFC West title, they may find themselves in contention for a wild-card spot alongside the Packers. Thus, cheering for an upset by the Falcons against the Rams on Monday night could be advantageous for Green Bay.

With so many variables in play, the coming week promises to be a thrilling one for Packers fans. As we anticipate these pivotal matchups, what do you think? How do you see the Packers' chances unfolding? Join the conversation and share your thoughts!

Packers Playoff Push: One Win Away! Week 17 Scenarios Explained (2026)
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